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Thursday, Jul 17, 2025
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Philippines Expected to Achieve Record Palay Harvest in Second Quarter
Philippine Statistics Authority forecasts second-quarter palay production could reach 4.36 million metric tons, surpassing last year's figures.
The Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) has projected that the country’s palay harvest for the second quarter of the year could reach 4.36 million metric tons (MT).
If realized, this would mark the highest output for the country in the second quarter to date.
The PSA's estimate represents a 13.4 percent increase compared to the actual palay harvest of 3.85 million MT recorded during the same period in the previous year.
This anticipated production boost is expected to elevate the total palay output for the first half of the year to over 9 million MT, with figures suggesting a total harvest of nearly 9.06 million MT, which would be only the second instance in history that the six-month palay yield has exceeded the nine-million MT threshold.
The first occurrence was in 2023, when the total reached approximately 9.03 million MT, coinciding with the country’s all-time high full-year production of 20.06 million MT.
Year-on-year, the projected first-half palay production is anticipated to be 6 percent higher than last year's total of 8.53 million MT, based on PSA data.
Factors contributing to the increase in palay harvest include a delayed planting schedule among farmers in response to previous market conditions, which has been reflected in the contraction of area harvested in the first quarter.
The PSA estimates that total palay harvest area for the second quarter could expand by 9.2 percent, reaching approximately 972,730 hectares compared to 890,600 hectares in the prior year.
Additionally, the average yield per hectare is expected to rise by 3.7 percent year-on-year, increasing from 4.32 MT per hectare to 4.48 MT.
As of May 1, approximately 612,650 hectares of the projected total palay area had already been harvested, leading to a palay output of 2.82 million MT.
The Department of Agriculture has indicated that the national palay production could achieve a record high of 20.46 million MT this year, attributing this growth to improved weather conditions and enhanced production interventions by the government.
Nevertheless, this projected harvest would yield around 12.89 million MT of milled rice, which would still fall short of the national rice demand estimated at approximately 15.54 million MT.
If realized, this would mark the highest output for the country in the second quarter to date.
The PSA's estimate represents a 13.4 percent increase compared to the actual palay harvest of 3.85 million MT recorded during the same period in the previous year.
This anticipated production boost is expected to elevate the total palay output for the first half of the year to over 9 million MT, with figures suggesting a total harvest of nearly 9.06 million MT, which would be only the second instance in history that the six-month palay yield has exceeded the nine-million MT threshold.
The first occurrence was in 2023, when the total reached approximately 9.03 million MT, coinciding with the country’s all-time high full-year production of 20.06 million MT.
Year-on-year, the projected first-half palay production is anticipated to be 6 percent higher than last year's total of 8.53 million MT, based on PSA data.
Factors contributing to the increase in palay harvest include a delayed planting schedule among farmers in response to previous market conditions, which has been reflected in the contraction of area harvested in the first quarter.
The PSA estimates that total palay harvest area for the second quarter could expand by 9.2 percent, reaching approximately 972,730 hectares compared to 890,600 hectares in the prior year.
Additionally, the average yield per hectare is expected to rise by 3.7 percent year-on-year, increasing from 4.32 MT per hectare to 4.48 MT.
As of May 1, approximately 612,650 hectares of the projected total palay area had already been harvested, leading to a palay output of 2.82 million MT.
The Department of Agriculture has indicated that the national palay production could achieve a record high of 20.46 million MT this year, attributing this growth to improved weather conditions and enhanced production interventions by the government.
Nevertheless, this projected harvest would yield around 12.89 million MT of milled rice, which would still fall short of the national rice demand estimated at approximately 15.54 million MT.
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